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Is RSI 30 Really Oversold? We Tested 50 Different Levels Analytics Table
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About Is RSI 30 Really Oversold? We Tested 50 Different Levels
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What is the best RSI oversold level for trading SPY, and is the textbook RSI 30 level really the one traders should be using? We backtested every RSI(2) oversold threshold from 1 through 50 across more than 33 years of SPY data to find out. If you are interested in rule-based trading, we would love to have you in our Skool community: https://www.skool.com/rulebasedtrading/about In this video, we put RSI oversold levels through a systematic backtest using the same SPY daily data, 200-day moving average trend filter, entry rules, and short-term exit. By changing only the RSI threshold, we can compare 50 separate backtests on equal terms. But finding the highest profit factor is only part of the story. A strong-looking RSI setting can become much less convincing when you consider sample size, trade frequency, robustness, and changing market conditions. We also test whether the stronger RSI regions hold up when the exit rules are changed, including fixed holding periods and alternative RSI exits. Then we examine forward SPY returns and split the historical data into different market periods to see whether the optimal RSI oversold zone has remained stable over time. Is RSI below 30 really the best definition of oversold? Or does SPY's historical mean-reversion behavior point toward a different range? Watch the full backtest to see what more than three decades of market data reveal. ABOUT QUANTIFIED STRATEGIES Quantified Strategies is run by HÃ¥kan Samuelsson and Oddmund Groette, two former proprietary traders with decades of hands-on market experience. Since 2012, we have published evidence-based market research, backtested trading strategies, and educational resources for systematic traders. Our research reaches millions of readers, our newsletter has 25,000+ subscribers, and our trading books have sold 30,000+ copies. No hype. No predictions. Just data. Backtested results are hypothetical, exclude commissions and slippage, and do not guarantee future performance. This content is for educational purposes only. #RSI #Backtesting #TradingStrategy #QuantifiedStrategies
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