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Sponsored by Ground News: Compare news coverage. Spot media bias. Avoid algorithms. Try Ground News today and get 40% off your subscription by going to https://ground.news/perun If there is one thing that the last few years have served to highlight, it's how fragile peace (or at least the absence of active kinetic action) can be. Early May has already seen a series of cross-border strikes exchanged between two nuclear powers, India and Pakistan, and the world is now waiting to see if an agreed ceasefire will hold. I've been working on an episode on an episode on Pakistan since late 2024 to go along with my original video on India (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QvhEN_kHaA4) and had intended to release it later in 2025. Given the circumstances though, I thought it would be worthwhile to bring the release forward and I hope it can provide some useful context. it will probably be some time yet before there is enough reliable evidence out there to confidently parse what happened with the recent strikes and draw any lessons learned. When I think that can be done, I'll consider a follow up video. Until then, I hope you find this big picture view of one of the world's nuclear powers valuable. Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PerunAU Reading and Sourcing (To be expanded due to late release) : Unless otherwise indicated, platform and system counts are per MB2024 estimates Arms exports estimates per SIPRI https://www.sipri.org/databases/armstransfers Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists - Pakistan Nuclear Weapons 2023 https://thebulletin.org/premium/2023-09/pakistan-nuclear-weapons-2023/ Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists - Pakistan Nuclear Weapons 2024 https://thebulletin.org/premium/2024-09/indian-nuclear-weapons-2024/ IMF - Pakistan dataset https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/profile/PAK IMF - India dataset https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/profile/IND Pakistan Debt to GDP ratio per Trading Economics (citing Central Bank of Pakistan) https://tradingeconomics.com/pakistan/government-debt-to-gdp Carnegie Endowment - Pakistan nuclear use doctrine (2016) https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2016/06/pakistans-nuclear-use-doctrine?lang=en Reporting on Pakistan naval modernisation plans https://www.defensenews.com/naval/2020/10/14/outgoing-pakistan-navy-chief-reveals-details-of-modernization-programs/ https://www.defensenews.com/naval/2021/11/09/pakistan-receives-new-chinese-made-frigate-how-would-it-fare-against-indias-navy/ https://www.defensenews.com/smr/defending-the-pacific/2023/02/13/how-are-pakistans-naval-modernization-plans-coming-along/ Special message by Lt. Gen. (Retd) Khalid Kidwai https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c3oOXOk3G1k Lt General (Retd) Khalid Kidwai: Deterrence, Nuclear Weapons and Arms Control – Keynote Address https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bInVdvk39e0 Source for Yahya Khan quotes (1971 Times article) https://time.com/archive/6816116/the-world-good-soldier-yahya-khan/ Sitara Noor - Pakistan's evolving nuclear doctrine https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2023-10/features/pakistans-evolving-nuclear-doctrine#endnote09 Reporting on Indian control of water flows https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd9l9qwyv23o IISS (2022) - Why Pakistan’s first national-security policy matters for future regional stability https://www.iiss.org/online-analysis/online-analysis/2022/02/why-pakistans-first-national-security-policy-matters-for-future-regional-stability/ Rabia Akhtar (2022) - Pakistan’s new National Security Policy: A step in the right direction By Rabia Akhtar https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/southasiasource/pakistans-new-national-security-policy/ Reporting on recent India-Pakistan escalation: https://www.reuters.com/world/india/pakistan-says-three-air-bases-targeted-by-indian-missiles-2025-05-10/ Caveats & Comments: All normal caveats and comments apply. In particular – I note, as always, that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon in any way, including to inform any financial or other decisions, views, actions etc... Any content relating to the conduct, views, activities or any aspect of any person or character in this video is included for entertainment purposes and does not represent an assertion of fact on those matters or any matters in relation to that person or character. Quotes and included data should be considered, at most, indicative. Timestamps: 00:00:00 — Opening Words 00:01:34 — What Am I Talking About? 00:03:45 — History and Outlook 00:13:32 — Objectives and Doctrine 00:17:46 — Pakistan Army 00:21:22 — Pakistan Air Force 00:26:51 — Pakistan Navy 00:30:16 — Evaluating the Conventional Balance 00:31:01 — the Nuclear Deterrent & Doctrine 00:47:24 — Pakistan's Problems 00:50:02 — Problem 2: Economics 00:57:23 — Problem 3: Reliance & Arms Imports 00:59:18 — Risks and a Way Forward 01:01:46 — Channel Update

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