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Over 15,000 UK daily infections in vaccinated

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UK, Cases, + 48,553 https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk Third wave in hospitals Admission, + 582 Dr Catherine Monaghan, University Hospital of North Tees https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57836137 People are still critically unwell with it - I cannot quite believe we're back at this stage again - it's really worrying." Currently 22 Covid patients Five in intensive care Average ages lower than during the first two waves Two seriously ill, 30s, unvaccinated Visits to adult wards suspended Patients likely to increase into August Behaviour of local communities from 19 July will determine how serious the challenge will be We are praying that the public do maintain some sense of perspective on this - somewhere between everybody being locked down and getting what they want Covid symptom study https://covid.joinzoe.com/post/complacency-could-condemn-thousands-more-to-long-covid https://covid.joinzoe.com/post/new-cases-plateau-aead-of-freedom-day Unvaccinated people in the UK 17,5881 new daily symptomatic cases of COVID on average (based on PCR test data) Last week it was 22,638 (down 22%) Suggesting that the wave in the unvaccinated population has now peaked in the UK Vaccinated people in the UK 15,537 new daily symptomatic cases in partly or fully vaccinated Last week it was 11,084 (up 40%) With cases in the vaccinated group continuing to rise, the number of new cases in the vaccinated population is set to overtake the unvaccinated in the coming days This is probably because we’re running out of unvaccinated susceptible people to infect as more and more people get the vaccine. Whilst the figures look worrying, it’s important to highlight that vaccines have massively reduced severe infections and post-vaccination COVID is a much milder disease for most people. The main concern is now the risk of Long COVID. Prevalence One in 142 people in the UK currently have symptomatic COVID UK R = 1.0 Long covid https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.06.24.21259277v1 550 cases a day in unvaccinated 1.2% (age 20) 4.8% (age 63) Next couple of weeks Euro Football Championship US Cases, + 31,815 https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendsdeaths Middle East https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/7/14/risk-of-catastrophic-coronavirus-surge-in-middle-east-who Spread of delta Eid al-Adha next week WHO current COVID-19 upsurge may continue to peak in the coming weeks, with catastrophic consequences

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