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Differing methods of data gathering reveal vastly different infection rates in the UK, what is the evidence from both methods and what is the reality? This video argues for the accuracy of the data from the covid symptom tracker app as it is more consistent with the Office for National Statistics Data. Germany https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-54728893 Merkel, long, hard winter Monday, closure of restaurants, bars, gyms and theatres France Macron, country risked overwhelmed by a second wave that no doubt will be harder than the first Lock down from Friday Spain Six-month extension of the state of emergency 9th May 2021 Regional powers to limit mobility, impose curfews, shut borders with other regions Catalan region, 15-day ban on entering or leaving UK, Tier 2 from Saturday: East Riding of Yorkshire, Kingston-Upon-Hull, North East Lincolnshire North Lincolnshire; Dudley Staffordshire Telford and the Wrekin Amber Valley Bolsover Derbyshire Dales Derby City South Derbyshire The whole of High Peak Charnwood Luton Oxford City Real-time assessment of community transmission https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/207534/coronavirus-infections-rising-rapidly-england-react/ https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/institute-of-global-health-innovation/REACT1_r6_interim_preprint.pdf Infections rising rapidly in England Swab tests, n = 85,971, England Imperial College London and Ipsos MORI Round 2, 16th to 25th October, prevalence, 1.28% of population infected Out of self-administered 85,971 swabs, 863 were positive Estimated 128 people per 10,000 Corresponds to 96,000 new infections each day Round 1, 18th September to 5th October, it was 60 per 100,000 Infections increased All age groups Prevalence, areas of the country The Humber, 2.7%, 1 in 40, (up from 0.84%) North West, 2.3% North East, 1.2% West Midlands, 1.6% East Midlands, 1.2% South East, 0.55% East of England, 0.64% South West, 0.72% London, 0.89% Age and prevalence Aged 18-24, 2.2% Steepest rise, aged 55-64, x 3, 0.37% up to 1.2% Over 65s, 0.81% x 2, 0.35% up to 0.81 Prevalence also doubled in primary and secondary school children Reproduction number (R) = 1.56 (on an upward trend) Giving a doubling time of doubling every 9 days Previously, 29 days Prevalence remained highest in 18 to 24-year olds at 2.25% (1.47%, 3.42%). Official testing based new cases https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/cases Cases, + 24,701 + 23,065 Symptom tracker app Cases, + 43, 596 Active, 556, 901 However, Kings College / Zoe https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q-SwbhDIdxY&t=120s R about 1.1 Doubling every 28 days Increasing national rates that are steady Not out of control as you might have heard from some other sources Look at all the date, not one survey More than a million reports per day Swab test when sick About 8% positive Similar to ONS survey The largest current data source North of England, some suggestions the rates are coming down, but still higher than the South of England Scotland and Wales somewhere in between Mainly in young people Large number of cases Nor seeing overall excess deaths COVID is the 15th cause of death nationally 40,000 people die in any Normal November Risks for most people are still low COVID Dogs Medical detection dogs https://www.itv.com/news/2020-10-27/first-trial-at-train-station-for-dogs-that-can-smell-covid-19-in-humans Duchess of Cornwall trains up Matt Hancock Paddington Station Heathrow Diagnosis time 0.5 second Australia https://www.dhhs.vic.gov.au/victorian-coronavirus-covid-19-data Hospitalised, 5 (0) If you would like to donate to John's educational projects, please use the following link, thank you, https://www.paypal.com/cgi-bin/webscr?cmd=_s-xclick&hosted_button_id=78GGHGLK5ZXAE

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