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Felix Nikolas Prehn, economist and former investment banker, explains why the midterm result everyone said would crash stocks set off the Dow's best day of the year, what the S&P 500 did after the 7 previous times a Republican president lost Congress to the Democrats, and which parts of the market are winning and losing underneath the index. 💡Don’t Miss the "GREAT PIVOT Opportunity". Get your free seat for Saturday at https://greatpivot.org 🐶 Get your 30 day free trial to the Winston Metals & Stock App & lock in the Founders Tier at: https://gogetwinston.com 👉 Get your free research report at https://felixfriends.org/boom For months the warning was that a Democratic Congress would wreck the stock market. Some people sold and went to cash. Then the result came in and the Dow rose nearly 1,600 points, about 3%, in a single day. Since 1954 this has happened 7 times, under Eisenhower, Nixon, Ford, Reagan and both Bushes, and a year later the S&P 500 was higher every time, by about 15% on average. JPMorgan's market intelligence team found the S&P 500 has been up a year after every midterm since 1950. Felix explains in plain English why Wall Street likes a divided government, and why 1974 and 1986 show that a pattern is never a promise. He then opens the Winston app's sector rotation page to show how differently the sectors moved on the same day. Energy fell 6.29% against the market as Brent crude dropped 8.7%, while consumer discretionary, financials and the big platforms rose. He explains the 200-day moving average and why the chip funds SOXX and SMH and Nvidia closing below it matters, and how the Texas governor's race and a possible data centre moratorium split the AI trade: Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet and Meta rose, while the smaller neocloud builders CoreWeave, Nebius and IREN fell between 6.7% and 11.2%. On gold, Felix covers Commerzbank's view that margin calls drove the fall to a one-year low. He closes with Peter Mallouk's 50-year chart of cash against shares, and the risks that could spoil the boom: the 11 December government funding deadline, a possible Fed rate rise in December, the AI trade and the war with Iran. Free report from The Prehn Institute: felixfriends.org/boom Free live training, The Great Pivot: greatpivot.org on Saturday 7 November 2026, 9am New York, 2pm London, 3pm Europe. Type READY in the comments so Felix knows you're coming. This video is for education only and is not financial advice. About Felix Nikolas Prehn Felix Nikolas Prehn, also known as Nikolas Prehn, is an economist and former investment banker, born in Germany. He is a tech founder: he co-founded TradeVision.io (Acetrader Inc), founded Winston Daily and The Prehn Institute, and publishes weekly on YouTube. He is also a painter and sculptor and a public advocate for animal rescue. Biography: https://felixprehn.com/about Website: https://felixprehn.com Essays: https://felixprehn.com/writing Research profile (ORCID): https://orcid.org/0009-0003-0238-8790 X: https://x.com/felixprehn Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:46 Companion Report Announcement: The 7 Historical Post-Midterm Cycles 02:41 100-Year Perspective: Long-Term Equity Growth Across Political Administrations 03:23 Post-Election Index Disconnect: Dow +3%, S&P +1.6%, Nasdaq +1.4% 04:18 Sector Dispersion Unmasked: Energy (-6%) vs. Consumer Discretionary Surge 04:36 Semiconductor Breakdown: SMH Drops Below 200-Day Moving Average 05:49 Market Overreactions: Differentiating Temporary Dips from Trend Shifts 07:03 The 3-Month Post-Election Window: Historical +10% Average Returns 08:36 Deconstructing the 7 Historical Parallel Cycles (1954 to 2006 Data) 09:37 Institutional Intelligence: J.P. Morgan Market Intelligence Audit 10:15 The Economics of Legislative Gridlock: Predictability & Regulatory Stability 11:08 Case Study 1974: Gerald Ford, Energy Shocks, and Short-Term Drawdowns 11:54 Sector Spread Disparities: 9-Percentage-Point Gap Between Winners & Losers 12:46 Energy Sector Sell-Off: Crude Oil Drops 8% Single-Day 13:21 J.P. Morgan 12-Month Sector Return Matrix: Staples, Energy & Real Estate Lags 14:22 Retail Trader Trap: Concentration Risk in Single-Theme AI Accounts 16:47 Hyperscaler Moats: Why Microsoft (+6%) and Amazon (+6%) Rallied Post-Vote 18:04 Data Center Energy Bottlenecks: Texas (27% US Capacity) Moratorium Impacts 19:14 High-Yield Credit Risks: Auditing Unprofitable Data Center "Zombies" 20:15 Gold Market Dynamics: Forced Margin Call Sales & Sideways Consolidation 22:08 50-Year Asset Return Comparison: Cash vs. S&P 500 Index Compounding 23:07 Key Calendar Risks: December 11 U.S. Government Funding Deadline 24:34 Outro #FelixNikolasPrehn #NikolasPrehn #MidtermElections

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