

Oil Surges Past $106, Federal Reserve To Hike With Yields Above 5% And Yields Will Drop
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Oil is surging to $106 a barrel and the ten-year yield just broke above 5% for the first time since 2007, and Gareth Soloway walks through why he thinks yields fall from here even if the Fed hikes tomorrow. Gareth opens on crude, which traded as high as $106.54 with no sign of a resolution in the Red Sea, continued Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia, and ongoing roadblocks in the Strait of Hormuz. Diesel, which he calls the lifeblood of the economy, keeps making new all-time highs and passes straight through to the consumer. He is short WTI crude and says he added to that short heavily today. He shows exactly why: a measured move that completes right here, low peak to high peak projected forward, landing inside the 0.786 Fibonacci zone drawn off the 52-week high down to the recent low. From there Gareth goes to the ten-year yield at 5.04%, a higher high than 2023 and the highest level since just before the financial crisis. He explains why rising oil drags yields up, why the market and not the Fed controls the long end, and why a Fed that raises and stays hawkish in its commentary could actually bring the ten-year, twenty-year and thirty-year down rather than up. Gareth also covers the S&P 500 holding its 7,570 trend line, why all three charts point the same direction, and the small Bitcoin position he picked up near $76,000. Gareth's Top Squad is his premium YouTube membership, $10 a month, with live Q&As, exclusive videos and swing trade alert posts. Join Gareth's Top Squad: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCwTu6kD2igaLMpxswtcdxlg/join SPONSOR: Rumble Wallet: wallet.rumble.com/Verified — use code VERIFIED10 for $10 in stablecoins. CHAPTERS 0:00 Oil Surging, Yields Above 5%, Fed Decision Tomorrow 0:56 Gareth's Top Squad 1:19 Crude Oil Hits $106.54 As The Red Sea And Hormuz Stay Blocked 1:56 Why Gareth Added To His Crude Oil Short Today 2:26 Ten-Year Yield At 5.04%, The Highest Since 2007 3:18 The Oil Chart: Measured Move Into The 0.786 Fibonacci 5:06 Probability Over Prediction, Not A Crystal Ball 5:35 The Ten-Year Yield Chart And 5.02% Double-Top Resistance 5:57 Why Rising Oil Pushes Treasury Yields Higher 6:39 The Fed Decision, 92.5% Odds Of A Hike, And Why Yields Can Still Fall 9:04 Short End Versus Long End And The Treasury Buybacks 9:45 S&P 500 Holding The 7,570 To 7,575 Trend Line 10:56 How Oil, Yields And The S&P Line Up Together 12:09 Rumble Wallet And A Small Bitcoin Buy Near $76,000 #OilPrice #BondYields #FedRateHike #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket
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