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The reason to vote is not what you think

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Why vote when it feels as though one person cannot change anything? In this TedXDurban x SMWX talk, Dr Sizwe Mpofu-Walsh challenges that argument by comparing voting to applause: its power comes from individual voices joining together, not from any one person deciding the outcome. He explores the make-up of South Africa’s electorate, highlighting the electoral weight of Gauteng and KwaZulu-Natal and the gap between women’s participation and their representation in political leadership. Sizwe then explains his polling-average methodology and shares his predictions for the 2026 local government elections, assessing the ANC’s potential decline, the DA’s prospects in the major cities and the MK Party’s strength in eThekwini. From coalition possibilities to the contest over Cape Town’s outright majority, he examines how the political map could change—and why the collective power of voting matters far more than the influence of any single ballot. Become a YouTube Member of SMWX: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCk_qa4ssROH8aUDbgQXE5dA/join Visit the SMWX store for merch and books: https://smwx.store CONTACT: ✉️: [email protected] Visit our website: smwx.africa _______ Credits: Director and DOP: Nomaan Haarzavi for Narr8 Studio Lead Camera Operator: Faizan Haq for Narr8 Studio 2nd Camera Operator: Yusuf Rahman for Narr8 Studio Producer: Oratile Kekana ______ 00:00 – Introduction 01:18 – Why your vote matters 02:59 – Voting is like applause 05:01 – Understanding South Africa’s electorate 06:04 – Women voters and political leadership 06:58 – How the election predictions are made 08:00 – National vote-share predictions 10:27 – Johannesburg, Tshwane and Ekurhuleni 10:59 – eThekwini: MK and coalition possibilities 12:11 – Will the DA retain its Cape Town majority? 13:25 – How the balance of power in the metros could change 15:13 – The power of voting together

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