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Explore Could Scientists Predict the Next Political Crisis? with 146,071 views, 5,014 likes, and 625 comments. Experience the impact of this video content that has captured audience attention.

Thanks to modern science and technology, we can predict what the weather will be like in 5 days, but it’s still a bit more challenging to predict what will happen to us and our societies. Hosted by: Hank Green Head to https://scishowfinds.com/ for hand selected artifacts of the universe! ---------- Support SciShow by becoming a patron on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/scishow ---------- Dooblydoo thanks go to the following Patreon supporters: Lazarus G, Sam Lutfi, D.A. Noe, سلطان الخليفي, Piya Shedden, KatieMarie Magnone, Scott Satovsky Jr, Charles Southerland, Patrick D. Ashmore, Tim Curwick, charles george, Kevin Bealer, Chris Peters ---------- Looking for SciShow elsewhere on the internet? Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/scishow Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/scishow Tumblr: http://scishow.tumblr.com Instagram: http://instagram.com/thescishow ---------- Sources: http://science.sciencemag.org/content/355/6324 http://science.sciencemag.org/content/sci/355/6324/481.full.pdf tetlock https://hbr.org/2015/10/question-certainty https://www.economist.com/books-and-arts/2015/09/26/unclouded-vision http://science.sciencemag.org/content/sci/355/6324/474.full.pdf violence http://freakonomics.com/2012/03/22/false-positive-science-why-we-cant-predict-the-future/ https://www.edge.org/conversation/win-at-forecasting Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (book, by Tetlock & Gardner) https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3270390/ http://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/scienceshow/the-power-and-limits-of-weather-models/6507508#transcript http://newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu/harnessing-the-wisdom-of-the-crowd-to-forecast-world-events/ https://www.iarpa.gov/index.php/research-programs/ace https://www.sas.upenn.edu/tetlock/publications https://goodjudgment.com/science.html http://mentalfloss.com/article/12997/why-cant-we-predict-earthquakes http://www.bbc.co.uk/guides/zxyd2p3 http://www.planet-science.com/categories/over-11s/natural-world/2011/03/can-we-predict-earthquakes.aspx https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes?qt-news_science_products=0#qt-news_science_products

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