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‘Crisis and Complacency: Why the cycle must stop with Covid-19’ Analytics Table

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Miranda Booth Lecturer in Humanitarian, Emergency in Disaster Management Studies College of Indigenous Futures, Arts & Society, Charles Darwin University PhD topic – Effective Foreign Military engagement in Humanitarian Assistance and Disaster Relief: Australia in the South Pacific Abstract In September 2019, the Global Preparedness Monitoring Board (see GPMB Annual Report) warned that a highly lethal global pandemic was likely, and that the world was not prepared. Three months later, patients in the city of Wuhan, China, began to seek medical help for pneumonia-like systems; the first cases of today’s global pandemic. Did the world prepare for COVID-19? This seminar introduces the concept of epidemic and pandemic preparedness, before investigating the gap between policies for preparedness, and their implementation by countries around the world. Using the historical examples such as Malaria, SARS and Ebola, the seminar demonstrates that countries have tended to react to outbreaks by following a cycle of ‘crisis’- investment in the immediate response - and ‘complacency’ – by reducing investment once the immediate health risks have passed. Reasons for these cycles include a lack of financial capacity, political will, competition for resources, risk perception and cognitive bias. COVID-19 suggests that frameworks that emerged in the aftermath of such crises, such as the Health-Emergency Disaster Risk Management Framework (2019), have failed to overcome these challenges. Worryingly, previous leaders in the arena of global health security – such as the United States– now seem to be stuck in a repetition of complacency. The economic, social and political consequences are increasingly severe. The seminar concludes by highlighting the lessons of COVID-19 and offers recommendations to break the cycle of crisis and complacency that has accompanied pandemics. About Miranda Booth Miranda is the coordinator of the Bachelor of Humanitarian and Community Studies and PhD candidate in the Humanitarian, Emergency and Disaster Management Studies program. Her research interests include international relations, strategic studies, foreign and defence policy, political interest and humanitarian action, humanitarian civil-military coordination, and measuring the effectiveness of humanitarian aid. She holds awards from the Coral Bell School of the Asia-Pacific, graduating with bachelor’s degree in International Relations from the Australian National University and a Master of Philosophy from the University of New South Wales. She has certificates in humanitarian practice awarded by organisations including the United Nations, Geneva Centre for Security Policy and Redr. Miranda has held positions at the University of New South Wales (Australian Defence Force Academy) and the University of Melbourne. She previously acted as an advisor for the Melbourne Centre for the Study of Higher Education, and as a rapporteur for the EU Centre on Shared Complex Challenges. She is an avid wargamer and has high level experience across human rights and international law environments, spanning from Canberra to The Hague.

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