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Sunday 27 September pandemic update

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US Trend https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ CDC, Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report Changing Age Distribution of the COVID-19 Pandemic — United States, May–August 2020 (23rd September) https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/pdfs/mm6939e1-H.pdf Early in the pandemic, COVID-19 incidence was highest among older adults June–August 2020 Incidence highest, 20–29 years Accounted for less than 20% of all confirmed cases Younger adults likely contribute to community transmission Southern United States, June 2020 Increases in percentage of positive test results among adults aged 20–39 Increases among those aged more than 60 4–15 days later Therefore Strict adherence to community mitigation strategies Personal preventive behaviours by younger adults Reduce infection and subsequent transmission to persons at higher risk for severe illness. Australia Victoria https://www.dhhs.vic.gov.au/victorian-coronavirus-covid-19-data Cases, + 16 = 20,145 Deaths, + 2 = 784 Active cases, 399 = 18, 901 Tests, + 10,680 = 2, 661, 989 Hospitalised, 51 (9) Therefore https://www.dhhs.vic.gov.au/second-step-restrictions-summary-metropolitan-melbourne-covid-19 From 11:59pm 27 September, Melbourne has moved to the Second Step of easing restrictions. Curfew lifted from Monday in metropolitan Melbourne from 5am on Monday 28 September Higher on the spot fines for breaching rules about visitors to your home and outdoor gatherings Reasons for leaving home remain Food or other essential items Exercise and outdoor Permitted work Caregiving Phased return for some education Religious gatherings, outdoors, 6 people As much as you can, you must stay at home When you leave home, you must use a face mask In 2 weeks if we hit an average of 5 cases rolling 14 day average, old mate Danny Andrews (our tireless Premier) has advised we can expect even more restrictions lifted than anticipated 6 weeks ago. (Christie) UK R England = 1.2 – 1.5 R Scotland = 1.2 – 1.6 R Wales = 0.7 – 1.2 Cases, + 6,043 = 429, 277 Deaths, + 34 = 41, 971 Cases, 19, 247 + 19, 661 Active cases, 189, 594 7th March to 11th September Death certificates with COVID, 56, 956 Excess deaths for time period, 64, 608 Universities Hospital Trust Birmingham Thousands self isolating September 11, 72 patients (7) September 25th 124 patients (18) 22 deaths in past 2 weeks Restrictions 15.7 million people (24%) Universities Thousands Glasgow Manchester Metropolitan Edinburgh Napier France https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/09/26/analysis-hospital-admissions-europe-says-next-stage-covid-uk/ Cases, + 14,412 Last 7 days Hospital admissions, 4,102 (up 34%) ITU admissions, 763 (up 40%) A&E admissions up 21% Deaths, 332 (up 25%) Marseille, Paris Patrick Bouet, National Council of the Order of Doctors in three to four weeks, if nothing changes, France will face a widespread outbreak across its whole territory, for several long autumn and winter months France’s health system would be unable to meet all the demands placed on it Europe https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea Hospital and/or ICU admissions increased in: Austria, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, France, Greece, Hungary, Latvia, Portugal, Slovakia and Slovenia Increased death rates in: Bulgaria, Croatia, Romania and Spain. All 4 reported increased cases 2 months ago High levels or sustained increases in over 65s (ECDC) Austria, Ireland, Luxembourg, Malta, Portugal, Romania, Spain, Sweden, UK Mexico Cases, + 5,573 = 726,431 Deaths, + 399 = 76,243 Limited testing

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