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With President Trump's approval ratings falling, voters increasingly concerned about affordability and Democrats leading in the polls, history suggests a difficult midterm for Republicans. CNN's Manu Raju and Jake Tapper discuss which races could be early signs that a blue wave is underway on Tuesday night . Also, CNN's Michael Smerconish reviews historical indicators that could point to a strong night for Democrats and former Clinton adviser Doug Sosnik says changes in the political landscape may complicate the expected blue wave. 0:00 Which key House races finish first on Tuesday? 2:06 A Montana race could point to a blue wave 3:50 Do Democrats have a chance in South Carolina? 6:05 Why Republican strategist has her eye on Ohio 8:42 Will electoral history repeat itself on Tuesday night? 14:24 The structural change in politics that may hold Democrats back Watch 24/7 live news with CNN Headlines: https://bit.ly/4eIvlTr Stream more on CNN with an All Access subscription: https://cnn.it/4AZMu54 #Election #Midterms #News

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