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UK has turned a coronavirus corner

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We have turned a corner relatively recently Chris Whitty, Patrick Vallance Full press conference https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e47dWP-pT_0 Government slides https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/slides-to-accompany-coronavirus-data-briefing-21-september-2020 Transcript https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences Droplets, aerosols, surface contacts Hands face space Limit the number of our contacts Reduce contacts in closed spaces, crowds, poor ventilation Reduce contact with infected people, isolation Spain and France Younger people now older as well Cases - hospitalization – deaths Viral genetics have changed, but still causes disease and deaths UK Increases in all age groups Not just more testing ONS data Proportion of tests positives increasing + 6,000 = 70, 000 currently have infection App data + 10, 391 = 96, 531 Doubling every 7 days Mid October Cases, + 50, 000 1 month later 200 + deaths per day Now Speed, action, enough Current immunity 8% show antibodies 17% in London 3 million people Most not protected Geographical spread Varies but essentially all over Clusters have been getting bigger Increasing everywhere In patients Doubling time, 7 or 8 days Potential for hospitalisations and deaths to double many times Seasons are against us for all respiratory viruses 6 month problem to deal with Collective problem No evidence the virus is milder than April Mortality will be similar to what we have seen, slightly lower High numbers would mean; Direct COVID deaths NHS overwhelmed Other pathologies not being treated, early diagnosis Heath effects of restrictions If I increase my risk, I increase the risks to others What to do Reducing individual risk, hands face space Isolation Break unnecessary links between households, work and social Science Vaccines Many vaccines generate an immune response First half of next year

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