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Real Estate Analyst Has Bad News For EVERY Canadian! with Ben Rabidoux Analytics Table
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**Start Your Realty Ninja Free Trial** https://www.realtyninja.com/tom Book a call w/Tom for Toronto👉 https://calendly.com/TomStorey Book a call w/Steve for Greater Vancouver👉 https://calendly.com/stevekarrasch *** Need Home or Property Insurance? *** Use SQUARE ONE: Tenants, Landlords and Home Owners Save $20 this link: https://www.squareone.ca/thetomstoreyshow?offer_code=TTSS Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetomstoreyshow/ - - - Signs continue to point to the fact that Ontario seems to be reaching a Real Estate bottom. In this week's episode of The Tom Storey Show, Steve Karrasch and Tom Storey are joined by One of Canada's BEST Real Estate analysts, Ben Rabidoux of Edge Analytics to discuss the the current state of the market. Connect with Ben: Join Edge Analytics: $10 off the monthly subscription using the discount code STOREY. 👉 https://www.edgeanalytics.ca/storey - - - Podcast Chapters 0:00 The Tom Storey Show 0:33 Episode 228 with Ben Rabidoux 1:57 Have we bottomed? 2:10 Why Ontario is starting to tighten 3:47 Cross Canada check in: BC, Alberta, the Prairies, Quebec, Atlantic 5:10 What a housing bottom actually looks like 6:17 Why a sideways market is good news 7:24 "How can this be the bottom when it's still unaffordable?" 8:37 The real driver: new supply has collapsed 9:53 Is there still too much inventory for prices to move? 10:51 Tug of war: no new supply vs. speculators getting flushed out 12:48 The accidental landlord problem 13:37 Is there pent up supply waiting to list? 15:07 Boomers aging out and the next wave of detached listings 15:39 The pent up first time buyer demand nobody is pricing in 16:30 Sponsor: Realty Ninja 17:28 Canada's biggest population cohort will surprise you 19:53 Signs of life in Toronto: a 5% cap rate condo 20:30 Steve's read on the Fraser Valley: no bottom in sight 22:54 The multiplex problem: tearing down what buyers actually want 24:44 Lots of showings, lots of lowball offers 27:19 Which buyers are actually re engaging? 28:58 Why BC is getting hit hardest: tariffs, jobs, land claims 30:19 BC's vanishing single family supply 31:58 The rental wave: 220,000 purpose built units coming 33:47 Rents are now resetting lower 35:00 Why soft rents help first time buyers save a down payment 35:49 Mom and pop vs. institutional landlords, and CMHC's MLI program 38:14 What does 2030 look like? 39:53 No condo completions in the 2030s 40:50 Could the rental wave keep future prices down? 42:46 Millennials, the S&P 500, and the next cycle 44:27 Sponsor: Square One 44:44 The 1989 to 1996 parallel 46:03 Toronto condos: the last segment to bottom 47:32 Condo cap rates vs. bond yields 48:27 When investors come back, and in what order 49:46 BC foreclosures and consumer insolvencies 52:38 Mortgage fraud and new to Canada buyers 56:23 Why BC hasn't bottomed yet 57:33 Counter tariffs and the cost of living 58:58 Fall market outlook: what to watch 1:00:27 Final thoughts for first time buyers 1:01:20 Sentiment as a contrarian signal AUDIO PODCAST LINKS: Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/7wEEPUUhaC8g2CsIwJetbd Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/.../the-tom.../id1627632474 Amazon: https://music.amazon.ca/.../the-tom-storey-show-with...? TOM STOREY Tom's YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/TomStorey/videos The Storey Team, Royal LePage Signature: https://storeyteam.ca/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thestoreyteam/ FaceBook: https://www.facebook.com/thestoreyteam STEVE KARRASCH Steve's YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/KarraschRealProperties/videos Karrasch Real Properties, Macdonald Realty: https://www.krproperties.ca/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/karrasch_real_properties/ FaceBook: https://www.facebook.com/KarraschRealProperties/ The opinions expressed herein are solely that of Steve Karrasch PREC and Tom Storey, not Macdonald Realty, Royal LePage Signature, TREB or the FVREB and should not be misconstrued as advice or the basis of an agency relationship whatsoever. Nor should any of this content be considered or used as financial advice. Please consult your professional advisor prior to taking action on any decisions relating to the matters discussed in these videos. This communication is not intended to cause or induce breach of an existing agency agreement.
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