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Intro to Forecasting 02 - Reference class forecasting Analytics Table
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About Intro to Forecasting 02 - Reference class forecasting
Explore Intro to Forecasting 02 - Reference class forecasting with 11,202 views, 195 likes, and 36 comments. Experience the impact of this video content that has captured audience attention.
In this video, we look at reference class forecasting, a technique which allows you to get a reasonably good forecast in many different situations. Sign up to Metaculus here: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/ The question we make a forecast on is here: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4764/will-the-usa-enter-a-second-civil-war-before-july-2021/ Some graphics from thenounproject.com, used under a creative commons license. Credit to Bismillah, Andrejs Kirma, sachin modgekar, and ProSymbols for their designs. Animations are my own.
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