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Explore The Iran War Is Becoming Something Much Bigger | Robert Pape with 252,384 views, 3,756 likes, and 565 comments. Experience the impact of this video content that has captured audience attention.

Join as a channel member for exclusive content: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/join Support the Channel One-time support: https://buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit Newsletter https://pyotrskurzin.substack.com Connect X: https://twitter.com/PKurzin Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/pyotrkurzin.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/pyotrsfootprints/ Robert Pape believes Trump could launch another bombing campaign against Iran—and warns that the promise of a quick victory could conceal a much longer war. In our first Substack Live together, the author of Bombing to Win explains the “smart bomb trap”: how better intelligence and more precise weapons can persuade leaders they have control over what happens next. I press him on whether drones have overturned American military superiority, what a US withdrawal would mean for Kuwait and the Gulf, and why Iran’s armed forces have not turned against the regime. We also explore his proposed alternative: regional balancing, rather than another attempt at regime change. His closing warning is stark. Iran, the US and Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the Houthis represent four “cocked guns”. In Pape’s assessment, one major escalation could set the others off. 00:00 Robert Pape joins the first Substack Live 01:38 When American air power actually works 05:42 Iran’s ground-war threat: attack or distraction? 07:54 Could Iran take Kuwait after a US withdrawal? 10:08 Have drones changed the military balance? 16:27 Why reopening Hormuz is so difficult 18:09 The scale of Iran’s drone problem 22:15 What attacking Iran’s infrastructure would mean 26:39 Pape’s warning about a three-day air campaign 28:45 The “smart bomb trap” 34:50 Why hasn’t Iran’s regime fractured? 39:58 The Artesh, IRGC and prospects for an uprising 42:32 Could Washington destabilise Iran from within? 44:33 Regional balancing: Pape’s alternative 46:07 How US domestic politics constrains the strategy 49:15 Four cocked guns: the next escalation #iran #usa #trump #saudiarabia

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