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Explore Saturday 2nd May, Global dangers with 280,791 views, 9,877 likes, and 3,735 comments. Experience the impact of this video content that has captured audience attention.

https://www.rescue.org/press-release/irc-world-risks-1-billion-cases-and-32-million-deaths-covid-19-across-fragile IRC: World risks up to 1 billion cases and 3.2 million deaths from COVID-19 across fragile countries 500 million and 1 billion infections, leading to between 1.7 to 3.2 million deaths, in 34 conflict-affected and fragile countries. A small window of time left Estimates are based on Chinese data, but, Less health care than china Venezuela Refugee camps Syria, Greece and Bangladesh Population density, X 8.5 Diamond princess where transmission of the virus was up to four times faster than in Wuhan Limited access to water, sanitation and hygiene found in displacement camps, the disease will spread fast and could devastate communities Yemen Somalia South Sudan Syria DRC CAR Chad Sudan Afghanistan Zimbabwe Guinea Haiti Iraq Nigeria Imperial modelling https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/mrc-gida/2020-03-26-COVID19-Report-12.pdf Report 12: The Global Impact of COVID-19 and Strategies for Mitigation and Suppression In the absence of interventions 7.0 billion infections 40 million deaths globally this year Mitigation strategies Shielding the elderly (60% reduction in social contacts) + Slowing but not interrupting transmission (40% reduction in social contacts for wider population) save 20 million lives Even in this scenario, all Health systems will be quickly overwhelmed In a typical low-income setting outstripping supply by a factor of 25 US and UK R0 = 2.4 – 3.3 3 day doubling time UK deaths, 490,000 US deaths 2,180,000 Balance of risk in LICs Lower age profile Social conditions Social unrest Malnutrition, HIV, TB, Malaria, Yellow fever, STIs Need the rapid adoption of public health measures to suppress transmission, Testing and isolation of cases Wider social distancing measures Rapid isolation Delays in implementing strategies to suppress transmission will lead to worse outcomes and fewer lives saved. Social and economic costs of suppression, may be disproportionately in lower income settings Healthcare Availability LICs, 1.24 beds per 1000 HICs, 4.82 beds per 1000

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