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Explore Everyone Guesses The Fed. Here's How You Trade It Instead | Prediction Markets Explained with 29,126 views, 191 likes, and 127 comments. Experience the impact of this video content that has captured audience attention.

➡️ Trade prediction markets on a CFTC-regulated US exchange: https://kalshi.com/p/LADY — sign up with my affiliate link and trade $50 to get a bonus. Every few weeks the whole market argues about the same question: will the Fed cut or won't it. Everybody has a take, and none of it is a position. But that exact question has a price on it — a number, moving in real time, that you can trade directly. Not the coin that might react to the news. The news itself. This is how prediction markets and event contracts actually work, why the price of a contract IS the probability, and the one structural difference that separates a regulated exchange from a sportsbook. 🎥 In this video: — What an event contract is: yes/no, fixed $1 payout, an expiration — Why 70 cents means 70% — reading a probability instead of arguing about one — Who decides if you were right: the settlement source written into every contract — The Fed meeting, inflation and the jobs report — each with its own market — "Isn't this just gambling?" — the regulator's own answer — Why you're never locked in until the event resolves — The honest limits: these markets are wrong 3 times out of 10, and they're supposed to be In this video I use Kalshi. Kalshi is a CFTC-designated contract market — a federally regulated US exchange — and the first CFTC-regulated US exchange to offer perpetuals. Beyond perps, every macro number that matters gets its own market there. 🔗 Sources: How event contracts work, settlement, protections, risk: https://www.cftc.gov/LearnandProtect/PredictionMarkets KalshiEX designated as a contract market (CFTC, Nov 4 2020): https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8302-20 BTCPERP order for approval (CFTC, May 29 2026): https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9240-26 Fed meeting market — contract terms: https://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/FEDDECISION.pdf Inflation market — contract terms: https://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/YOYCPI.pdf Jobs numbers market — contract terms: https://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/PAYROLLS.pdf —————————————————————————— 📢 MY CHANNELS ▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/cryptoladyglobal ▶️ X: https://x.com/CryptoLadyHQ ▶️ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cryptolady 📧 Business: [email protected] ✈️ Telegram: https://t.me/cryptomilady ⚠️ DISCLOSURE & RISK This video is a paid partnership with Kalshi and contains an affiliate link. I may earn a commission if you sign up through it, at no extra cost to you. Nothing here is financial, investment, legal or tax advice. This is general information and my personal opinion only. Event contracts carry risk: you can be right about a situation and still lose on timing, spread or fees, and a position can settle worthless. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Do your own research. Kalshi is a US exchange — availability depends on your location. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. #kalshi #kalshiperps #predictionmarkets #eventcontracts #fed

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