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Cases and deaths surge in Brazil

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UK Cases, + 3,862 (+ 37,487) Down 1.7% Deaths, + 19 (+ 437) = 126,593 Down 31.7% Hospitalised, + 343 = 4,560 https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk People vaccinated up to and including 27 March 2021 First dose: 30,151,287 Second dose: 3,527,481 US Cases, +71,593 (+ 421,233) = 30,000,000 https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases Deaths, 1,283 = 545,273 Vaccines https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations First dose, 91,707,729 (27.6%) Second dose, 50,141,769 (15.1) Brazil https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2021/03/27/Brazil-COVID-19-surge-new-variant/5401616866503/ https://www.wsj.com/articles/covid-19-variant-rages-in-brazil-posing-global-risk-11616845889 Population, 213 million Deaths, + 3,000 (per day) Andréia Cruz, emergency-ward nurse, Porto Alegre We’re in the trenches here, fighting a war P.1 strain, now in 20 countries Manaus variant Industrial hub, truck route Most prevalent variant in Brazil New York, found last week Up to 2.2 times more contagious Up to 61% more able to reinfect people ? increased mortality Porto Alegre P.1 at least 60% Hospitals overwhelmed Doctors report younger patients Doctors report fitter patients getting sick Deaths in Brazil (WSJ analysis) Under 60 previous peak, 26% of deaths Under 60s, this peak, 30% of deaths Diego Montarroyos Simões, intensive-care doctor, Recife We’re seeing patients who aren’t obese, who have no comorbidities, who are not old but, even so, the virus just overwhelms them Problems US, widespread complacency Fully vaccinated in Brazil, 1.9% ? further P.1 mutations William Hanage, Harvard University epidemiologist There is a rush to declare this pandemic is over, and it’s not I dread to think what will happen when P.1 manages to get to places that are not likely to get vaccinated for quite some time Most daily cases per capita ever Uruguay, Brazil, Chile, Peru, Colombia Felipe Naveca, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation https://portal.fiocruz.br/en If we don’t stop the virus circulating, it won’t stop evolving Peru 40% of infections are P.1 Current vaccines, efficacy against P.1? Preliminary studies Yes, but possible/probably reduced efficacy

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