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GDP grew 3.4% last quarter, so why does inflation still hurt? Justin Wolfers untangles it. The last big data dump before the 2026 midterms just landed. In this Diving In episode, Justin Wolfers walks you through why both political parties can grab accurate numbers and tell you completely opposite stories. He shows you where the growth actually came from: a huge chunk of it is the AI build-out (nearly a full percentage point), plus unintended inventories and a statistical quirk in oil sales that flattered the headline. Strip the noise out and look at "core GDP" and growth looks a bit more robust. Then there's your side of the ledger. The PCE deflator came in at 3.6% headline, with core stuck around 3.1% against the Fed's 2% target. You feel that at the gas pump and in airfares. You'll leave knowing which inflation number to trust, why the trade war isn't delivering the growth it promised, and how to read the next political spin for yourself before the midterms. Chapters: 0:00 The last data dump before midterms 1:08 Two views of GDP, both right 3:15 The 3.4% quarter, explained 4:46 Finding the signal in the noise 8:14 Where the growth came from 9:23 The AI build-out 11:50 Inflation and the PCE deflator 14:32 Why both parties spin it Subscribe — it grows a lot more reliably than core GDP: on YouTube 👉 https://youtube.com/platypuseconomics on Substack 👉 https://newsletter.platypuseconomics.com the Podcast 👉 https://platypuseconomics.com/podcast Follow on Social Media @PlatypusEconomics and @JustinWolfers

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